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Analysis & reasoning by tipster Steffen Fonvig:
Slovenia drew in their first match against Denmark, which many believe they should have lost 2-1 or 3-1 based on the numerous goal-scoring opportunities Denmark had. Serbia faced the group favourites, England, in their first match and lost 1-0. This result means both teams are now seeking points to secure third place in Group C and a chance to advance to the knockout stage of Euro 2024.
Analysis of Slovenia
Slovenia has proven to be a solid opponent, but their draw against Denmark can largely be attributed to luck rather than superior gameplay. While they managed to secure 1 point from their match against Denmark, their performances have not been convincing. They were able to prevent Denmark from scoring more goals, which was more due to Denmark’s inefficiency than Slovenia’s defensive prowess.
Analysis of Serbia
On the other hand, Serbia has yet to score in the tournament, but they should not be underestimated. They played a close match against a strong England team, and losing only 1-0 shows they have a solid defensive structure. Against a more evenly matched team like Slovenia, it is expected that Serbia will be able to better exploit their offensive capabilities and potentially score more goals.
Match Dynamics
With Serbia having no points and Slovenia just 1 point, both teams are under pressure to perform. Serbia will be particularly motivated to secure a win to keep their chances of advancing from the group stage alive. This could result in a very offensive approach from Serbia, as they will try to dominate the game and create many goal-scoring opportunities.
Expected Match Scenario
- Serbia: Expected to field their full strength and adopt an aggressive playing style to secure 3 points.
- Slovenia: Likely to focus on defending and utilizing counter-attacks, but they may struggle to withstand Serbia’s pressure.
I predict that Serbia will put in all their efforts and secure 3 points in this match, giving them a better chance to advance from the group stage. My betting suggestion for the match is that Serbia will win by 2 goals or more. This is based on Serbia’s strong defensive performance against England, where they conceded only 1 goal against the group favourites, and their need to score and secure a comfortable victory against a more manageable team like Slovenia.