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Analysis & reasoning by tipster Daniel Nielsen:
The battle for third place is intense in the final group match for these two teams! One team has the chance to progress while the other will be sent home. With Scotland and Hungary taking the field, both teams sit with 1 and 0 points, respectively, and both have terrible goal differentials.
Who Can Settle for a Draw:
In many final group stage matches, some teams can settle for a draw, but that’s not the case here. If these two teams draw, they can book their flights home together, as they will both be eliminated. Scotland would end up with 2 points and a negative goal differential of -4, which won’t be enough to advance. Therefore, both teams must go for the win, and Hungary might even need to chase goal difference, though they won’t know until the other groups have finished their matches.
Disadvantage of Being in Group A:
It’s certainly a disadvantage to be in Group A, as they play their final group match before all the others and cannot play to a specific result. If Hungary takes the lead and were in Group F, they would know whether 3 points and a -3 goal differential would be enough or if they need to chase additional goals. It will be a judgment call during the match if they go ahead. For Scotland, it’s straightforward—they need a win to reach 4 points and advance as the third-place team.
How Many Third-Place Teams Advance:
The top four third-place teams from the group stage advance, and this is the position both teams are aiming for.
Betting Tip:
I’m betting on under 2.5 goals in the match between Scotland and Hungary because I expect Scotland to defend solidly and take advantage of Hungary’s need to win and possibly score multiple goals. It will be a match where both teams are cautious until someone scores or starts to open up. If there’s an early goal, it could change everything and lead to a high-scoring game, but my inclination is towards under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.12.