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Analysis & reasoning by tipster Steffen Fonvig:
Poland and Austria have each played their first group stage matches against the group’s favorites. Poland faced the Netherlands and lost 2-1, while Austria went up against France and lost 1-0. It’s not surprising that the favorites won these matches, leaving both Austria and Poland without points and at the bottom of the group. With only one match remaining after this one, the stakes are high for both teams to secure points in this crucial encounter.
Offensive Capabilities
Both Austria and Poland are known for their offensive play styles. Poland boasts key players like Robert Lewandowski and Piotr Zieliński, who are adept at creating and capitalizing on scoring opportunities. Notably, Lewandowski did not play in the match against the Netherlands, likely to conserve his strength and avoid exacerbating an injury. This strategic choice was probably made to enhance their chances of winning the upcoming match against Austria and securing vital points.
Austria, on the other hand, has offensive talents like Marko Arnautović and Marcel Sabitzer, who can cause significant problems for opposing defenses. Given the desperation for points to keep their tournament hopes alive, we can expect an offensive game from both teams. This is likely to result in numerous goal-scoring opportunities.
Betting Tip: Over 2.5 Goals
Considering the offensive strengths and the high stakes, a bet on over 2.5 goals in this match, at odds of 10/11 with Spreadex, appears to offer good value. Both teams will be forced to attack and take risks to secure the crucial points, making a high-scoring game a strong possibility.
Who Will Win?
fter observing both Poland and Austria play against the group’s favorites, it’s clear that both teams are formidable. However, a few factors suggest a slight advantage for Poland in their upcoming match against Austria.
One of the most significant factors is the likely return of Robert Lewandowski, Poland’s star striker. His absence in the match against the Netherlands was a strategic move to ensure he is fit and ready for the crucial match against Austria. His presence on the field will be a major boost for Poland, given his goal-scoring prowess and ability to create chances under pressure. This will likely elevate the team’s morale and offensive capabilities.
While Austria has shown itself to be a strong opponent, especially in their qualification matches for the Euros and in their first group stage match against France, players like Marko Arnautović and Marcel Sabitzer have delivered solid performances and significantly contributed to the team’s offense. Austria’s ability to press and create chances should not be underestimated.
However, when comparing the two teams, Poland seems to have a slight edge. With players like Piotr Zieliński and Kamil Glik, combined with Lewandowski’s expected return, Poland has the strength and depth that could be decisive in this match. Their performance in the qualifiers has also demonstrated their ability to compete against strong opponents.
Therefore, I see great value in betting on Poland to win this match at odds of 27/10 with Spreadex. Although Austria is favoured according to the odds, and they have performed well in their first group stage match against France and in their Euro qualifiers, I believe Poland is the stronger and better team overall. Their offensive strengths, especially with Lewandowski on the field, could prove to be decisive.