Get Social
Analysis & reasoning by tipster Steffen Fonvig:
The first round of Euro 2024, also known as the European Football Championship, has concluded, and Round 2 is about to commence. In Round 2, Poland will face Austria. I’ve already shared one betting tip for this match, but given the value I see in this game, I’m sharing another, this time focusing on the match-winner.
Current Standings and Team Analysis
At the moment, neither Poland nor Austria have any points in their group. The two favourites, France and the Netherlands, each have 3 points. The Netherlands defeated Poland 2-1, while France secured a 1-0 victory over Austria. This means both Poland and Austria are facing a crucial match where a win is necessary to keep their hopes of advancing alive.
Austria Analysis
Austria managed to hold their own relatively well in their first match against the group’s favourites, France. They conceded only one goal, which is impressive against a team of France’s calibre. Austria’s defence was compact and organised, making it difficult for the French to break through.
However, despite their solid defensive performance, Austria’s overall play was not impressive, particularly in attack. They struggled to create chances and capitalise on the few opportunities they had. Their offensive play lacked sharpness and creativity, making it easy for France’s defence to neutralise their threats.
Austria’s journey through the qualifiers has been mixed. They faced relatively weak teams like Azerbaijan, Sweden, and Estonia, and while they managed to qualify, their performances were not convincing. The team showed moments of quality but lacked consistency and sharpness in several matches, raising questions about their ability to compete against stronger opponents on the big stage.
Despite their sometimes mediocre performances, Austria has often been rated higher than expected by oddsmakers. This can be attributed to their potential and key players like David Alaba and Marko Arnautović. However, based on their performances in the qualifiers and their first Euro match, one could argue that Austria is an overrated team in terms of odds. Their lack of offensive strength and inconsistent play make them a team that might struggle to live up to high expectations.
Poland Analysis
In their first Euro 2024 match, Poland faced the strong Netherlands team. Although they conceded two goals, they also managed to score. This 2-1 loss shows Poland’s ability to compete against one of the group favourites. Poland generally played well, created several goal-scoring opportunities, and showed offensive determination against a strong Dutch defence. Their performance indicates a team that is tactically adept and capable of adapting to the strengths of their opponents.
Poland impressed during their Euro 2024 qualifiers. They faced and competed against some of the strongest teams in their group and still managed to secure significant wins and draws. The team’s ability to stand firm against strong opponents like Germany and Switzerland and secure their place at the Euros demonstrates impressive stability and fighting spirit.
Despite their performances and potential, Poland has often been underrated by oddsmakers. The team’s ability to create chances and score against top opponents has not always been reflected in the odds they receive. This makes Poland an exciting underdog that can surprise and deliver results that exceed expectations.
Who Will Win: Poland or Austria?
I believe Poland has a good chance of securing a victory in this match, especially with Robert Lewandowski back on the pitch. The odds of 3.80 at Campobet are very attractive and reflect an underestimation by the bookmakers. With Lewandowski’s goal-scoring prowess and Poland’s generally strong offensive play, I predict they can break through Austria’s defence and score multiple goals. Although Austria has shown defensive strength, I see Poland as the more aggressive and goal-oriented team, giving them an advantage in this matchup.