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Analysis & reasoning by tipster Daniel Nielsen:
Germany and Denmark face off in a decisive Round of 16 match, where the intensity will be at its peak. Both teams will be fighting hard to advance, likely resulting in a physical battle, especially in the midfield.
Absence of Morten Hjulmand:
With Morten Hjulmand suspended due to receiving two yellow cards in the group stage, there will be significant pressure on Pierre-Emile Højbjerg to dominate the midfield. Højbjerg is known for his physical playing style and will need to take extra responsibility in breaking up Germany’s attacks.
Højbjerg’s Playing Style:
Højbjerg is a tough midfielder who doesn’t shy away from tackles. His aggressive style and determination to stop the opposition’s attacks often lead to fouls and cards. In a match of this significance, he is likely to be even more committed to controlling the midfield.
Match Intensity:
With so much at stake, the match’s intensity will be extremely high. This increases the likelihood of hard tackles and potential yellow cards, especially for a player like Højbjerg, who will be crucial in neutralizing Germany’s midfield.
Conclusion:
Based on the match’s significance, the absence of Morten Hjulmand, Højbjerg’s physical playing style, Germany’s strong offense, the expected intensity of the game, and Højbjerg’s historical tendency to receive cards, there is a high probability that Pierre-Emile Højbjerg will receive a card in this match. Therefore, there is good value in betting on Højbjerg to get a card at odds of 4.35.