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Analysis & reasoning by tipster Daniel Nielsen:
We have now reached the final round of the group stage, and Denmark’s fate will be decided against Serbia, who need a win to progress, while Denmark will likely advance with at least a draw. The match is set to take place in Munich, and a Danish festive atmosphere is expected both in Germany and at home, where many will gather for various large screen events to watch the game together.
Importance of the Match
Denmark is currently 2nd in the group and can control their own destiny; they need either a win or a draw to advance. On the other hand, Serbia must win the match to avoid finishing 4th in the group and being eliminated. The game is expected to be intense as Serbia will likely bring physicality to unsettle Denmark, as noted by the Danish team, who are well-prepared for a physical battle.
Betting Proposal
I recommend betting 6 units on there being at least 4 cards in the match. Given the high stakes for both teams, the match is expected to be intense. In the second round, Serbia alone received 4 cards against Slovenia, while Denmark got 3 cards against England. With even more at stake in this match, it seems likely that the card count will be high. Personally, I might even place a ladder bet on cards, playing multiple higher lines as well.
Match Referee
The referee for the match is France’s François Letexier, who averages around 4.5 cards in the French league. He has so far officiated one match at the EUROs, Croatia vs Albania, where he handed out 4 cards. He is expected to have a tough task managing this match and might need to issue several cards to maintain control.
Considering these factors, betting on there being at least 4 cards in the match is a valuable bet with good chances of success. The intense nature of the match, the physical play expected from Serbia, and the card-happy referee make this a likely outcome.